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Please i need a time series analysis on the data uploaded and also a fit to a epidemic model

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The definitions on the excel data sheet are
Susc--suspected cases
Death
LabCfd--Laboratory confirmed
CFR---case fatality rate
Also, regions and populations were included.
Futhermore i need to fit it to a model given by
S(t) = A -bSI-uS,
E(t)=bSI-(g+u)E
I(t)=gE-(w+u)I,
R(t)=wI-uR.
where A = 50, b=0.723, u=0.0021, g=0.3,w=0.211.
Different values can be adopted for S, E, I, R.

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R2014a

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